List your top ten picks for Pope, in order from most likely to least likely.
List the continent you think is most likely to produce the next Pope.
List the number of voting rounds held which do *not* produce a new Pope (if a new Pope is named on the first ballot, the winning number is zero).
List the five names you think are most likely for the new Pope to adopt as his Papal name, in order from most likely to least likely.
Your Fantasy Pope entry name
Once the new Pope is announced, entries will be scored as follows:
Correctly listing the Pope on your top ten list, with points given based on how high the new Pope was on your list (14 points for most likely, 9, 8, 7, 6, 5, 4, 3, 2, 1 for spots two through ten).
Correctly picking the continent of birth for the new Pope (five points).
8 – X points for the difference between your guess and the actual number of voting rounds that occur without producing a Pope. For instance, if you predicted 6 rounds that don’t produce a Pope (Pope selected on seventh ballot), and there are instead 11 rounds (Pope selected on twelfth ballot), you would receive 3 points (8 – (11-6)).
Correctly listing the name adopted by the new Pope, with points given based on how high the new Pope’s name was on your list and reduced down the list (9 points for most likely, 4, 3, 2, 1 for spots two through five).
Extended! Now 8am Rome time, March 6, 2013.
The overall winner with the highest score will be named winner, and will be awarded no prize other than bragging rights of being the world’s greatest Papal Prognosticator. In the case of ties, the following will be used in order as tiebreakers until a winner remains: Correct candidate in first spot, correct name in first spot, closest to number of votes not producing a Pope, points earned for candidate, points earned for name.
E-mail firstname.lastname@example.org for clarifications or to submit entries. After all entries are received, everyone will receive a list of all entries in advance of the conclave. Good luck!